State of the Middle Class

Trade Balance and NIIP

U.S. Struggles with Large Trade and Investment Deficits

In 1945, the U.S. produced half of the world’s goods. Now we manufacture less than our competitors and buy more than we sell. This is called a trade deficit, and it has grown significantly over the decades. Meanwhile, countries who sell to us use their earnings to buy up investments in the U.S. We’re strengthening our competitors’ economies while weakening our own. 

Manufactured goods trade deficits have skyrocketed

The United States’ accumulated trade deficits with its major competitors like China, Japan, and Germany now measure in the trillions. Our shift from mostly manufacturing and selling products to largely buying from our competitors is a power shift that makes us vulnerable on many levels.

US Cumulative Trade Deficit
in Trillions USD

Top 5 Deficits by Trading Partner
in Trillions USD

Top 5 Deficits by Trading Partner in Trillions USD

Monthly trade deficits remain high

Yearly U.S. trade deficits in physical goods have consistently exceeded $1 trillion per year. The monthly numbers show we have our largest deficits with Mexico, China, and other Asian countries.

U.S. Goods Trade Deficit for June 2026 (Billions of USD)

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Investment deficits make us a debtor nation

The rest of the world owns more of our companies, equipment, stocks, and bonds than we own of theirs. This is measured by NIIP (net international investment position). The negative NIIP in the U.S. indicates we have large investment deficits with other nations — we are a debtor nation. That makes us more dependent on foreigners to invest in our production and more susceptible to economic downturns and crises if we do not control our production.

Investment Balance (NIIP) for Select Countries, 2026 Q1 (Trillions USD)

U.S. Cumulative Goods Trade Deficit Sources

Historical trade deficit numbers are located in the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s Investment Position Tables for 1960 through 1986 and in the Census Bureau’s Trade in Goods with World, Not Seasonally Adjusted for 1987 through the most recent month.  These totals are summed to calculate the cumulative deficit for goods (without services).  Cumulative deficits for the U.S. with individual countries are calculated using the Census Bureau’s Trade in Goods with World for 1985 through present day.  Pre-1985 numbers contribute a negligible amount to cumulative totals for any one country.

U.S. Top Goods Trade Deficits by Country Source

The top ten countries with which the United States has the largest trade deficits by month are located in the Census Bureau’s Goods with World, Not Seasonally Adjusted.  Data excludes trade in services.

Investment Balance (NIIP) for Select Countries Source

The Net International Investment Position for each selected country is provided by the International Monetary Fund on a quarterly basis via the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Statistics.